{"statusCode":200,"message":"","totalCount":0,"result":{"id":2652628,"title":"AI算力板块大爆发，工业富联、新易盛等个股满屏创新高，通信ETF、通信设备ETF、创业板人工智能ETF大成涨超6%","tag":{"name":null,"color":"#999999"},"createTimestamp":1755077834,"updateTimestamp":1755077879,"coverImageUrl":"https://img3.gelonghui.com/ec63c-51b445c9-a1ca-4ca3-9671-33343d748457.jpg?guru_height=4000&guru_width=6000&guru_size=2725218","count":{"read":22461,"comment":1,"favorite":0,"like":20,"share":0},"statistic":{"isTrial":false,"isPay":false,"isColumn":false,"isLike":null,"isFavorite":null,"canShare":true,"canFavorite":true},"radio":null,"column":{"id":293186,"nick":"ETF进化论","avatar":"https://img4.gelonghui.com/head/f9eea-f5c17d3b-db52-48a9-b5d4-3ac263193652.jpg","showRoles":[{"type":null,"description":"社区大V","icon":"https://img2.gelonghui.com/role_big_v.png","credentials":"ETF研究达人"},{"type":"COLUMN_AUTHOR","description":"专栏作家","icon":"https://img2.gelonghui.com/role_column_author.png","credentials":""}],"tags":null,"brief":"ETF是投资的最终归宿，ETF是一种信仰！","sex":"","inviteCode":"ZSD5O5","route":"https://m.gelonghui.com/user/293186","isFollow":false,"country":"","state":"","city":"","email":null,"phone":null,"countryCode":"86","needBindPhone":null,"roles":null,"userCount":{"fans":51705,"follow":5,"post":2950,"dynamic":514,"optionalStock":0,"optionalETF":1,"optionalFund":0,"readHistory":0,"favorite":1,"followingPortfolios":1,"createPortfolios":1,"validPortfolios":1},"vip":null,"level":{"exp":12408.0,"currentLevel":2,"currentLevelMaxExp":20000.0},"account":null,"message":null,"binds":null,"agreeUserAgreement":true,"canUploadVideo":null,"kyc":{"certification":false,"investor":null,"svipInvestor":null,"fundInvestor":null,"needAddBirthday":null,"signContract":null,"ageCategory":null},"svip":null,"isBlock":null,"columnAuthorStatus":"authenticated","createDate":1556002009,"membership":null,"regionName":"广东","momentPublishable":false,"uid":622295040035,"canReview":false,"advisoryCertification":null,"financialCircles":[],"styleTags":[{"tagId":40,"userTagId":11534,"name":"题材挖掘","icon":null}],"isHotPictureAuthor":true},"album":null,"purchaseInfo":null,"remainWordNumber":0,"summary":"全线沸腾","source":{"description":null},"content":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">今日</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AI硬件端继续逼空，工业富联</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">、</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">涨停续创历史新高，现报43.68元，成交额</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">100.2</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">亿元。</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">，总市值突破8</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6</span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">00亿元；</span>新易盛飙涨15%创历史新高<b>，</b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">中际旭创、新易盛、华工科技、光库科技、胜宏科技均续创历史新高。</span></p><p>ETF方面，AI硬件板块大爆发，创业板50ETF华夏、国泰基金通信ETF、富国基金通信设备ETF分别涨6.89%、6.45%和6.45%，最新溢折率分别为2.5%、1.75%和3.64%。CPO含量高的创业板人工智能ETF大成、创业板人工智能ETF南方和创业板人工智能ETF华宝分别涨6.25%、5.78%和5.72%。</p><p><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/80ac2-7544a405-34bf-4bff-b713-f8d7946bea53.jpg?guru_height=1259&amp;guru_width=1031&amp;guru_size=181481\" style=\"margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;\"></p><p>消息面上：</p><p>①北美云厂商资本开支大幅上调支撑AI算力需求，大摩预计全球云端资本支出预计将在未来几年内创新高；</p><p>报告核心预测显示，2025年全球11大超大规模云端厂商的资本支出将上调至4450亿美元，年增长率高达56%，较此前预期高出12个百分点。到2026年，初步共识预测为5180亿美元，但摩根士丹利预计有望达到5820亿美元，同比增长31%。 亚马逊、Alphabet、Meta Platforms和微软，这四大美国云端服务提供商的资本支出预计在2025年合计达到3590亿美元(同比增长57%)，并在2026年进一步增至4540亿美元(同比增长26%)。</p><p>②算力、芯片企业超预期业绩验证算力产业的蓬勃发展：工业富联二季报GB200系列产品的生产良率持续改善、且出货量逐季攀升；台积电公布7月业绩亮眼，公司7月营收为3231.66亿元新台币，同比增长25.8%，环比增长22.5%；</p><p>③全球AI大模型密集发布，加速token的加速消耗也推动着算力需求持续提升。OpenAI的GPT5、华为正式发布AI推理创新技术UCM，下个月开源；传DeepSeek-R2的预计发布时间窗口为2025年8月15日至8月30日；对此，接近DeepSeek人士表示，该消息不实，并确认DeepSeek-R2在8月内并无发布计划。</p><p>④AI板块从6月上涨以来，目前拥挤度、成交额、超额收益均处中等水平，未过热。A股7连阳、两融余额是个十年超2万亿，市场风险偏好提高，有赚钱效应的板块能持续获得资金正反馈。</p><p>目前A股与算力相关的指数有多种，例如云计算、SHS云计算、云计算50、创业板人工智能指数、通信设备、5G通信等指数。</p><p><b>其中规模最大的是跟踪5G通信指数的华夏基金5G通信ETF，最新规模为71.88亿元。其次是跟踪通信设备指数的国泰通信ETF，最新规模为40.03亿元。</b></p><p><b>从费率角度来看，跟踪云计算指数的易方达云计算ETF、华夏云计算50ETF和招商云计算ETF，以及跟踪创业板人工智能指数的创业板人工智能ETF华夏的费率成本最低，管理费率+托管费率分别为“0.15%+0.05%”。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/18478-96c235f3-70bc-4016-b69a-0987a69b47e3.jpg?guru_height=1359&amp;guru_width=1677&amp;guru_size=292003\" style=\"margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;\"></p><p>机构认为，海外CAPEX表现强劲，国内大厂CAPEX复苏&amp;AI投入持续加码，基建有望迎来新一轮发展机遇。</p><p>近期海外微软、亚马逊、谷歌、Meta云厂商CAPEX持续扩张，2021-2024年资本开支CAGR分别为33.74%、11.92%、28.71%、26.13%，2025Q1，Meta、亚马逊Capex规模分别为129.41亿美元、242.55亿美元，同比增长102.20%、74.06%；国内BAT互联网厂商AI投入逐步回暖，2024年，腾讯资本开支规模分别为960.48亿元，同比增长102.60%。</p>","file":null,"language":"zh-CN","relatedStocks":[{"market":"sz","code":"159367","name":"创业板50ETF华夏","canClick":true},{"market":"sh","code":"515880","name":"通信ETF国泰","canClick":true},{"market":"sz","code":"159583","name":"通信ETF富国","canClick":true},{"market":"sz","code":"159242","name":"创业板人工智能ETF大成","canClick":true},{"market":"sz","code":"159382","name":"创业板人工智能ETF南方","canClick":true},{"market":"sz","code":"159363","name":"创业板人工智能ETF华宝","canClick":true},{"market":"sh","code":"515050","name":"5G通信ETF","canClick":true},{"market":"sz","code":"159994","name":"通信ETF银华","canClick":true},{"market":"sz","code":"159388","name":"创业板人工智能ETF国泰","canClick":true},{"market":"sz","code":"159811","name":"5GETF博时","canClick":true}],"relatedInfos":[{"id":78,"type":"subject","name":"基金","link":"https://www.gelonghui.com/subject/78","coverImageUrl":"https://img7.gelonghui.com/apply/106733_20190228/column_article_file_20190228131624348.png"}],"closeComment":false,"readTime":2,"wordCount":1397,"reviewStatus":"approved","topic":null}}